Deportes Tolima 0-0 Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 30 Sep 2024

📅30/09/2024 · 🕒02:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.9pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.0pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.1pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportes Tolima EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 27%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +3%
1.20/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.17
+13% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
295 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
17.4 Crosses 15.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportes Tolima
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Santa Fe
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.68 xG 1.37
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
297 Passes 279
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
03.06.2024 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-2 HT 0-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
06.05.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
16.03.2024 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
16.10.2023 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 1-0 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
29.04.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
14.08.2022 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-1 HT 0-0 Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportes Tolima
0-0
AWAY Santa Fe
0.56 xG 0.75
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
343 Passes 182
81% Pass Accuracy 70%
28 Box Touches 9
27 Crosses 20
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Deportes Tolima vs Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportes Tolima and Santa Fe fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Deportes Tolima at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Deportes Tolima had 62% of the ball to Santa Fe's 38%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 0.56 to 0.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Fe led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Deportes Tolima and 1.33 for Santa Fe.

What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Santa Fe?

Deportes Tolima 0-0 Santa Fe in the Colombia - Primera on 30/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 43%, draw 29%, Santa Fe 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Deportes Tolima) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportes Tolima) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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