Deportes Tolima vs Santa Fe Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Deportes Tolima v Santa Fe — Team-Based Signals
Deportes Tolima vs Santa Fe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Santa Fe
KOL
2-0
HT 1-0
Deportes Tolima
KOL
2-1
HT 0-0
Deportes Tolima
KOL
3-0
HT 1-0
Santa Fe
KOL
Deportes Tolima 1-2 Santa Fe — Actual Match Statistics
Santa Fe nicked a narrow win over Deportes Tolima 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Deportes Tolima at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Deportes Tolima had 71% of the ball to Santa Fe's 29%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 0.96 to 0.68.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santa Fe led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportes Tolima and 1.00 for Santa Fe.
What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Santa Fe?
Deportes Tolima 1-2 Santa Fe in the Colombia - Primera on 03/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs Santa Fe?
Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 46%, draw 31%, Santa Fe 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.