Millonarios 2-0 Junior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 3 Jun 2024

📅03/06/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.9
No
58%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.9pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millonarios EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Junior EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -8%
1.21/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.09
+15% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 76%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.6
16.5 Crosses 14.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millonarios
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Junior
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.90 xG 1.05
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
282 Passes 356
77% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
05.05.2024 Junior Junior 2-1 HT 1-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
18.04.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 3-2 HT 1-0 Junior Junior KOL
25.01.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 2-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOLSK
19.01.2024 Junior Junior 1-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOLSK
15.10.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 1-0 HT 1-0 Junior Junior KOL
01.05.2023 Junior Junior 1-0 HT 1-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Millonarios
2-0
AWAY Junior
1.08 xG 1.68
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
314 Passes 336
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Millonarios vs Junior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Millonarios got the better of Junior 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Millonarios as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Millonarios had 49% of the ball to Junior's 51%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.08 to 1.68 — on chances, Junior could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Millonarios and 1.00 for Junior.

What was the final score of Millonarios vs Junior?

Millonarios 2-0 Junior in the Colombia - Primera on 03/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millonarios vs Junior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Millonarios 44%, draw 28%, Junior 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Millonarios), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Millonarios) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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