Junior 2-1 Millonarios — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
32%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
47%
-9.2pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.0pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.5pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.6pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Junior EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Millonarios EU Bookmakers 28%
-10% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.32/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.21
+10% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +23%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 75%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
15.2 Crosses 12.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Junior
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Millonarios
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.94 xG 1.16
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
357 Passes 290
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 3-2 HT 1-0 Junior Junior KOL
25.01.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 2-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOLSK
19.01.2024 Junior Junior 1-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOLSK
15.10.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 1-0 HT 1-0 Junior Junior KOL
01.05.2023 Junior Junior 1-0 HT 1-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
28.11.2022 Millonarios Millonarios 1-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Junior
2-1
AWAY Millonarios
1.41 xG 0.99
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
365 Passes 258
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 11
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Junior vs Millonarios
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Junior edged past Millonarios 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 30% / 32% — and on the day Junior made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Junior had 57% of the ball to Millonarios's 43%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 1.41 to 0.99.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Junior and 1.17 for Millonarios.

What was the final score of Junior vs Millonarios?

Junior 2-1 Millonarios in the Colombia - Primera on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Junior vs Millonarios?

Before kick-off our model rated a Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Junior 38%, draw 30%, Millonarios 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Junior) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Junior) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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KOL More Colombia - Primera
5 May 2024
01:00 Deportivo Pereira vs Atletico Bucaramanga Analysis →