Deportivo Pereira 1-0 Atletico Bucaramanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.0
Draw
35%
2.94
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.45
Over 2.5
34%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
46%
-9.0pp
35%
Draw
30%
+4.2pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.9pp
66%
Under 2.5
65%
+0.9pp
34%
Over 2.5
35%
-0.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.0pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +14%
1.12/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.27
+6% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
16.3 Crosses 14.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pereira
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.24 xG 0.63
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
327 Passes 276
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 10
18 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.04.2024 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-2 HT 1-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
19.09.2023 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
09.04.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
31.10.2022 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-3 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
15.05.2022 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 0-3 HT 0-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
27.10.2021 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pereira
1-0
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
53% Ball Possession 47%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
299 Passes 244
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pereira vs Atletico Bucaramanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pereira squeezed past Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 35% / 28%) promised a tight game; Deportivo Pereira found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo Pereira had 53% of the ball to Atletico Bucaramanga's 47%, shots finished 6-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Bucaramanga led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Deportivo Pereira and 1.50 for Atletico Bucaramanga.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pereira vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Deportivo Pereira 1-0 Atletico Bucaramanga in the Colombia - Primera on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pereira vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pereira win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pereira 37%, draw 35%, Atletico Bucaramanga 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Pereira), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Pereira) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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