Deportivo Pereira 1-2 Atletico Bucaramanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 1 Apr 2024

Deportivo Pereira
1-2 HT 1-0
Atletico Bucaramanga
📅01/04/2024 · 🕒00:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2024

Deportivo Pereira vs Atletico Bucaramanga Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.52
Over 2.5
36%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.06
No
62%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+2.0pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.5pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.2pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo Pereira v Atletico Bucaramanga — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +17%
1.16/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.32
+6% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
292 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
16.6 Crosses 15.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9

Deportivo Pereira vs Atletico Bucaramanga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pereira
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.31 xG 0.74
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
306 Passes 280
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.09.2023 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
09.04.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
31.10.2022 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-3 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
15.05.2022 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 0-3 HT 0-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
27.10.2021 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
17.02.2021 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 2-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL

Deportivo Pereira 1-2 Atletico Bucaramanga — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pereira
1-2
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
0.37 xG 1.07
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
345 Passes 281
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
4 Box Touches 16
12 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pereira vs Atletico Bucaramanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Bucaramanga edged past Deportivo Pereira 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Pereira at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Pereira had 55% of the ball to Atletico Bucaramanga's 45%, shots finished 6-7, expected goals 0.37 to 1.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Bucaramanga led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Pereira and 1.50 for Atletico Bucaramanga.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pereira vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Deportivo Pereira 1-2 Atletico Bucaramanga in the Colombia - Primera on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pereira vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pereira win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pereira 46%, draw 28%, Atletico Bucaramanga 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Pereira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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