Deportivo Cali 2-4 Aguilas Doradas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.0
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.6
Over 2.5
37%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.96
No
59%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
46%
-8.9pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.0pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.5pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cali EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguilas Doradas EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
1.37/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.04
-8% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 74%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
18.1 Crosses 14.2
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cali
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Aguilas Doradas
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.86 xG 1.22
52% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
304 Passes 282
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 18
19 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.12.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 3-1 HT 1-1 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
14.11.2023 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-1 HT 0-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
12.08.2023 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
21.02.2023 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-1 HT 0-0 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
13.10.2022 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas 2-2 HT 1-1 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
24.04.2022 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 0-1 HT 0-1 Aguilas Doradas Aguilas Doradas KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cali
2-4
AWAY Aguilas Doradas
1.24 xG 1.42
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
399 Passes 256
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 11
19 Crosses 10
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportivo Cali vs Aguilas Doradas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aguilas Doradas got the better of Deportivo Cali 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 32% — and on the day Aguilas Doradas made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Cali had 58% of the ball to Aguilas Doradas's 42%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 1.24 to 1.42.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aguilas Doradas led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Deportivo Cali and 1.50 for Aguilas Doradas.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cali vs Aguilas Doradas?

Deportivo Cali 2-4 Aguilas Doradas in the Colombia - Primera on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cali vs Aguilas Doradas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cali 37%, draw 31%, Aguilas Doradas 32%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Cali) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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