Independiente Medellin vs America de Cali Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Independiente Medellin v America de Cali — Team-Based Signals
Independiente Medellin vs America de Cali Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 2-1
America de Cali
KOL
1-2
HT 1-2
Independiente Medellin
KOL
1-3
HT 0-2
Independiente Medellin
KOL
0-1
HT 0-0
America de Cali
KOL
2-0
HT 0-0
Independiente Medellin
KOL
0-1
HT 0-0
America de Cali
KOL
Independiente Medellin 1-4 America de Cali — Actual Match Statistics
America de Cali swept aside Independiente Medellin 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 35% — and on the day America de Cali made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Independiente Medellin had 65% of the ball to America de Cali's 35%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.69 to 1.49.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Independiente Medellin and 1.17 for America de Cali.
What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs America de Cali?
Independiente Medellin 1-4 America de Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Independiente Medellin vs America de Cali?
Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Independiente Medellin 35%, draw 31%, America de Cali 35%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.