Atletico Bucaramanga 3-1 Deportivo Pereira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 3 Jun 2024

📅03/06/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
30%
2.94
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.13
No
59%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.8pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.0pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
43%
-1.8pp
59%
BTTS No
57%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 29%
+9% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +14%
1.05/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.14
+1% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
290 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
16.3 Crosses 12.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.65 xG 1.32
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
289 Passes 313
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
11 Box Touches 13
13 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2024 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
01.04.2024 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-2 HT 1-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
19.09.2023 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
09.04.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
31.10.2022 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-3 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
15.05.2022 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 0-3 HT 0-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Bucaramanga
3-1
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
1.00 xG 1.28
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 1
234 Passes 325
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 12
12 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atletico Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pereira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Bucaramanga got the better of Deportivo Pereira 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Atletico Bucaramanga found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Bucaramanga had 43% of the ball to Deportivo Pereira's 57%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 1.00 to 1.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atletico Bucaramanga and 1.17 for Deportivo Pereira.

What was the final score of Atletico Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pereira?

Atletico Bucaramanga 3-1 Deportivo Pereira in the Colombia - Primera on 03/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pereira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Bucaramanga win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Atletico Bucaramanga 40%, draw 30%, Deportivo Pereira 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Bucaramanga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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