Al Najma 1-2 Budaiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 16 Apr 2026

Al Najma
1-2 HT 1-1
Budaiya
📅16/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Bahrain - Premier League – 2025/2026

Al Najma vs Budaiya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.26
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.25
6+ Goals
9%
12.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 30% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+1.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.2pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Najma v Budaiya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Najma EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Budaiya EU Bookmakers 34%
-12% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.41/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.65
-3% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -32%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
269 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9

Al Najma vs Budaiya Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Najma
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Budaiya
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
08.11.2025 Budaiya Budaiya 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
27.04.2022 Al Najma Al Najma 0-2 HT 0-1 Budaiya Budaiya BAH
16.10.2021 Al Najma Al Najma 0-1 HT 0-0 Budaiya Budaiya BAH
16.04.2021 Budaiya Budaiya 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
25.03.2021 Al Najma Al Najma 0-1 HT 0-1 Budaiya Budaiya BAHK
26.12.2020 Budaiya Budaiya 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Najma Al Najma BAH
POST-MATCH Al Najma vs Budaiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Budaiya nicked a narrow win over Al Najma 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Najma at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Budaiya led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Al Najma and 1.17 for Budaiya.

What was the final score of Al Najma vs Budaiya?

Al Najma 1-2 Budaiya in the Bahrain - Premier League on 16/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Najma vs Budaiya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Najma win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Najma 44%, draw 25%, Budaiya 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Najma) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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