Abu Qair Semad vs Derot Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Abu Qair Semad v Derot — Team-Based Signals
Abu Qair Semad vs Derot Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Abu Qair Semad 1-1 Derot — Actual Match Statistics
Abu Qair Semad and Derot couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Abu Qair Semad at 69% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (65%) missed.
On the day, Abu Qair Semad had 60% of the ball to Derot's 40%, shots finished 9-6.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Derot led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Abu Qair Semad and 1.50 for Derot.
What was the final score of Abu Qair Semad vs Derot?
Abu Qair Semad 1-1 Derot in the Egypt - 2nd Division on 16/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Abu Qair Semad vs Derot?
Before kick-off our model rated a Abu Qair Semad win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Abu Qair Semad 69%, draw 17%, Derot 14%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Abu Qair Semad), BTTS No went the other way.