Buhimba United Saints 1-2 Gaddafi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 16 Apr 2026

📅16/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
49%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
24%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
32%
-4.6pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.0pp
49%
Away Win
40%
+9.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.6pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buhimba United Saints EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Gaddafi EU Bookmakers 43%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.02/2.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/2.13
+8% / -59% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / -58%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
281 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buhimba United Saints
1-2
AWAY Gaddafi
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Buhimba United Saints vs Gaddafi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gaddafi edged past Buhimba United Saints 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gaddafi as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Buhimba United Saints had 47% of the ball to Gaddafi's 53%, shots finished 12-19.

What was the final score of Buhimba United Saints vs Gaddafi?

Buhimba United Saints 1-2 Gaddafi in the Uganda - Premier League on 16/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buhimba United Saints vs Gaddafi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gaddafi win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Buhimba United Saints 27%, draw 24%, Gaddafi 49%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gaddafi) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gaddafi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UGA More Uganda - Premier League
16 Apr 2026
20:00 URA vs BUL Analysis →