URA vs BUL Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
URA v BUL — Team-Based Signals
URA vs BUL Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
URA
UGA
2-2
HT 1-0
BUL
UGA
URA 1-1 BUL — Actual Match Statistics
URA and BUL shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 24% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.
On the day, URA had 42% of the ball to BUL's 58%, shots finished 13-3.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, BUL led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for URA and 1.40 for BUL.
What was the final score of URA vs BUL?
URA 1-1 BUL in the Uganda - Premier League on 16/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for URA vs BUL?
Before kick-off our model rated an BUL win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split URA 35%, draw 24%, BUL 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (BUL), BTTS No went the other way.