BUL 2-1 URA — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 14 Mar 2025

BUL
2-1 HT 1-1
URA
📅14/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Uganda - Premier League – 2024/2025

BUL vs URA Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.4pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.0pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.6pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

BUL v URA — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BUL EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY URA EU Bookmakers 26%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.44/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.56
+36% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +71% / +89%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.6

BUL vs URA Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BUL
2W-1D-0L
AWAY URA
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
18.10.2024 URA URA 0-1 HT 0-1 BUL BUL UGA
04.04.2022 BUL BUL 2-0 HT 1-0 URA URA UGA
20.11.2021 URA URA 2-2 HT 1-0 BUL BUL UGA
POST-MATCH BUL vs URA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BUL squeezed past URA 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had BUL as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, BUL had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for BUL and 0.67 for URA.

What was the final score of BUL vs URA?

BUL 2-1 URA in the Uganda - Premier League on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BUL vs URA?

Before kick-off our model rated a BUL win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split BUL 45%, draw 31%, URA 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BUL) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (BUL) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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