Maroons 1-3 NEC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 14 Mar 2025

Maroons
1-3 HT 1-3
NEC
📅14/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
41%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
Over 2.5
39%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
28%
-1.7pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.3pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.6pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maroons EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY NEC EU Bookmakers 45%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+34% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maroons
0W-0D-2L
AWAY NEC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
18.10.2024 NEC NEC 2-1 HT 0-0 Maroons Maroons UGA
13.03.2024 NEC NEC 2-1 HT 2-0 Maroons Maroons UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maroons
1-3
AWAY NEC
53% Ball Possession 47%
5 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Maroons vs NEC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NEC saw off Maroons 3-1 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had NEC as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Maroons had 53% of the ball to NEC's 47%, shots finished 5-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, NEC led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Maroons and 2.00 for NEC.

What was the final score of Maroons vs NEC?

Maroons 1-3 NEC in the Uganda - Premier League on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maroons vs NEC?

Before kick-off our model rated an NEC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Maroons 26%, draw 32%, NEC 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NEC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (NEC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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