NEC 2-1 Maroons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 18 Oct 2024

NEC
2-1 HT 0-0
Maroons
📅18/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.47
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
16%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.67
Over 2.5
33%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.4
No
66%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
28%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
64%
-7.9pp
28%
Draw
22%
+6.2pp
16%
Away Win
14%
+1.7pp
67%
Under 2.5
56%
+10.8pp
33%
Over 2.5
44%
-10.8pp
34%
BTTS Yes
38%
-3.0pp
66%
BTTS No
62%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NEC EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Maroons EU Bookmakers 17%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/0.99
-47% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +62%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
399 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NEC
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Maroons
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 0
13.03.2024 NEC NEC 2-1 HT 2-0 Maroons Maroons UGA
POST-MATCH NEC vs Maroons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NEC squeezed past Maroons 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had NEC as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of NEC vs Maroons?

NEC 2-1 Maroons in the Uganda - Premier League on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NEC vs Maroons?

Before kick-off our model rated a NEC win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split NEC 56%, draw 28%, Maroons 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NEC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (NEC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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