NEC 2-1 Maroons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 13 Mar 2024

NEC
2-1 HT 2-0
Maroons
📅13/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
47%
+3.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-1.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.0pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NEC EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Maroons EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NEC
2-1
AWAY Maroons
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH NEC vs Maroons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NEC nicked a narrow win over Maroons 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had NEC as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, NEC had 47% of the ball to Maroons's 53%, shots finished 13-8.

What was the final score of NEC vs Maroons?

NEC 2-1 Maroons in the Uganda - Premier League on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NEC vs Maroons?

Before kick-off our model rated a NEC win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split NEC 51%, draw 25%, Maroons 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NEC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (NEC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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