Express 2-3 Wakiso Giants — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 13 Mar 2024

📅13/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.59
Over 2.5
54%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.13
No
52%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-3.9pp
23%
Draw
27%
-4.3pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+8.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
59%
-13.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
41%
+13.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
43%
+5.3pp
52%
BTTS No
57%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Express EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Wakiso Giants EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.03/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.36
-45% / +139% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Express
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Wakiso Giants
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
13.04.2022 Wakiso Giants Wakiso Giants 1-2 HT 1-1 Express Express UGA
26.11.2021 Express Express 1-0 HT 1-0 Wakiso Giants Wakiso Giants UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Express
2-3
AWAY Wakiso Giants
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Express vs Wakiso Giants
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wakiso Giants edged past Express 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Express at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Express had 55% of the ball to Wakiso Giants's 45%, shots finished 15-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Express had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Express and 0.50 for Wakiso Giants.

What was the final score of Express vs Wakiso Giants?

Express 2-3 Wakiso Giants in the Uganda - Premier League on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Express vs Wakiso Giants?

Before kick-off our model rated a Express win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Express 49%, draw 23%, Wakiso Giants 28%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Express), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Express) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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