Mbarara City vs Gaddafi Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mbarara City v Gaddafi — Team-Based Signals
Mbarara City vs Gaddafi Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Mbarara City
UGA
0-1
HT 0-1
Gaddafi
UGA
Mbarara City 5-0 Gaddafi — Actual Match Statistics
Mbarara City swept aside Gaddafi 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Mbarara City found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.
On the day, Mbarara City had 41% of the ball to Gaddafi's 59%, shots finished 13-4.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gaddafi led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Mbarara City and 1.00 for Gaddafi.
What was the final score of Mbarara City vs Gaddafi?
Mbarara City 5-0 Gaddafi in the Uganda - Premier League on 13/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mbarara City vs Gaddafi?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mbarara City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mbarara City 38%, draw 24%, Gaddafi 38%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.