URA vs BUL Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
URA v BUL — Team-Based Signals
URA vs BUL Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
URA
UGA
2-2
HT 1-0
BUL
UGA
URA 0-1 BUL — Actual Match Statistics
BUL edged past URA 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was URA at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, URA had 55% of the ball to BUL's 45%, shots finished 7-9.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, BUL led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for URA and 2.00 for BUL.
What was the final score of URA vs BUL?
URA 0-1 BUL in the Uganda - Premier League on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for URA vs BUL?
Before kick-off our model rated a URA win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split URA 44%, draw 26%, BUL 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (URA) went the other way.