Mbarara City 1-1 Kitara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
40%
2.88
Away
23%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
81%
1.45
Over 2.5
19%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
22%
2.16
No
78%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
59%
2-3 Goals
28%
4-5 Goals
9%
6+ Goals
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
30%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-5.6pp
40%
Draw
31%
+8.9pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-3.2pp
81%
Under 2.5
65%
+15.6pp
19%
Over 2.5
35%
-15.6pp
22%
BTTS Yes
42%
-19.8pp
78%
BTTS No
58%
+19.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mbarara City EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Kitara EU Bookmakers 30%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +58% / +58%
0.70/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-44% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +133% / +18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mbarara City
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Kitara
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 7
30.04.2024 Kitara Kitara 1-1 HT 1-0 Mbarara City Mbarara City UGA
20.12.2023 Mbarara City Mbarara City 0-0 HT 0-0 Kitara Kitara UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mbarara City
1-1
AWAY Kitara
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mbarara City vs Kitara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mbarara City and Kitara shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 40% / 23% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (81%) landed while no to both teams scoring (78%) missed.

On the day, Mbarara City had 53% of the ball to Kitara's 47%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Mbarara City and 0.50 for Kitara.

What was the final score of Mbarara City vs Kitara?

Mbarara City 1-1 Kitara in the Uganda - Premier League on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mbarara City vs Kitara?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mbarara City 37%, draw 40%, Kitara 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UGA More Uganda - Premier League
18 Oct 2024
16:00 NEC vs Maroons Analysis →
16:00 SC Villa vs Bright Stars Analysis →
19:00 URA vs BUL Analysis →