SC Villa 2-2 Bright Stars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.45
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
30%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.27
No
50%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
64%
-21.8pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.9pp
30%
Away Win
14%
+15.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.5pp
50%
BTTS No
60%
-9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SC Villa EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Bright Stars EU Bookmakers 17%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
2.61/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.60
+44% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -40%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
339 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SC Villa
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Bright Stars
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 SC Villa SC Villa 1-1 HT 0-0 Bright Stars Bright Stars UGA
11.02.2022 SC Villa SC Villa 1-2 HT 0-2 Bright Stars Bright Stars UGA
04.01.2022 Bright Stars Bright Stars 1-0 HT 0-0 SC Villa SC Villa UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SC Villa
2-2
AWAY Bright Stars
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
POST-MATCH SC Villa vs Bright Stars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SC Villa and Bright Stars couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was SC Villa at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, SC Villa had 49% of the ball to Bright Stars's 51%, shots finished 9-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Bright Stars led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for SC Villa and 1.33 for Bright Stars.

What was the final score of SC Villa vs Bright Stars?

SC Villa 2-2 Bright Stars in the Uganda - Premier League on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SC Villa vs Bright Stars?

Before kick-off our model rated a SC Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split SC Villa 42%, draw 28%, Bright Stars 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (SC Villa) ✗ Under 2.5
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