Bright Stars 1-3 SC Villa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 14 Mar 2025

📅14/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.69
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
46%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.52
Over 2.5
29%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.16
No
68%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
24%
+4.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
46%
Away Win
49%
-2.5pp
71%
Under 2.5
62%
+9.5pp
29%
Over 2.5
38%
-9.5pp
32%
BTTS Yes
42%
-9.9pp
68%
BTTS No
58%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bright Stars EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY SC Villa EU Bookmakers 53%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.46/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/0.62
-49% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +28%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
288 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bright Stars
2W-2D-0L
AWAY SC Villa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2024 SC Villa SC Villa 2-2 HT 2-0 Bright Stars Bright Stars UGA
21.04.2024 SC Villa SC Villa 1-1 HT 0-0 Bright Stars Bright Stars UGA
11.02.2022 SC Villa SC Villa 1-2 HT 0-2 Bright Stars Bright Stars UGA
04.01.2022 Bright Stars Bright Stars 1-0 HT 0-0 SC Villa SC Villa UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bright Stars
1-3
AWAY SC Villa
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Bright Stars vs SC Villa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SC Villa beat Bright Stars 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had SC Villa as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (68%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bright Stars had 41% of the ball to SC Villa's 59%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bright Stars had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bright Stars and 1.00 for SC Villa.

What was the final score of Bright Stars vs SC Villa?

Bright Stars 1-3 SC Villa in the Uganda - Premier League on 14/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bright Stars vs SC Villa?

Before kick-off our model rated an SC Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bright Stars 29%, draw 25%, SC Villa 46%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SC Villa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SC Villa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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