Neman Grodno 1-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 16 May 2024

📅16/05/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.07
2-3 Goals
45%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.81
6+ Goals
7%
16.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
55%
-3.4pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.6pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+7.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.7pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neman Grodno EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.99/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.99
+21% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -30%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
405 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neman Grodno
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.10.2022 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 1-1 HT 0-0 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
30.07.2022 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 2-1 HT 1-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLRK
15.05.2022 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 2-0 HT 1-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neman Grodno
1-0
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Neman Grodno vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neman Grodno nicked a narrow win over Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Neman Grodno as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Neman Grodno had 57% of the ball to Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk's 43%, shots finished 8-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Neman Grodno had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Neman Grodno and 0.67 for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk.

What was the final score of Neman Grodno vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?

Neman Grodno 1-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neman Grodno vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neman Grodno win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Neman Grodno 51%, draw 22%, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neman Grodno), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Neman Grodno) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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