Smorgon 1-1 Isloch Minsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 16 May 2024

📅16/05/2024 · 🕒18:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
43%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+3.3pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.3pp
43%
Away Win
48%
-4.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Smorgon EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Isloch Minsk EU Bookmakers 52%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +24%
1.24/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.20/0.65
+13% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +54%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Smorgon
0W-0D-5L
AWAY Isloch Minsk
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.08.2023 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk 1-0 HT 0-0 Smorgon Smorgon BLR
07.04.2023 Smorgon Smorgon 0-4 HT 0-3 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk BLR
25.07.2021 Smorgon Smorgon 1-2 HT 0-1 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk BLR
19.03.2021 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk 2-0 HT 1-0 Smorgon Smorgon BLR
20.09.2014 Isloch Minsk Isloch Minsk 3-1 HT 1-0 Smorgon Smorgon BRU1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Smorgon
1-1
AWAY Isloch Minsk
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Smorgon vs Isloch Minsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Smorgon and Isloch Minsk shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Isloch Minsk at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Smorgon had 45% of the ball to Isloch Minsk's 55%, shots finished 10-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Isloch Minsk led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Smorgon and 2.40 for Isloch Minsk.

What was the final score of Smorgon vs Isloch Minsk?

Smorgon 1-1 Isloch Minsk in the Belarus - Premier League on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Smorgon vs Isloch Minsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Isloch Minsk win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Smorgon 30%, draw 27%, Isloch Minsk 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Isloch Minsk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Isloch Minsk) ✓ Under 2.5
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