Naft Gachsaran 1-1 Naft Masjed Soleyman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 16 May 2024

Naft Gachsaran
1-1
Naft Masjed Soleyman
📅16/05/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Iran - Azadegan League – 2023/2024

Naft Gachsaran vs Naft Masjed Soleyman Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
30%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.51
Over 2.5
34%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.24
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
15%
5.52
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
31%
+13.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.6pp
30%
Away Win
40%
-10.7pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.7pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.3pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Naft Gachsaran v Naft Masjed Soleyman — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft Gachsaran EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Masjed Soleyman EU Bookmakers 45%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.01/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.02
+7% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
262 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Naft Gachsaran vs Naft Masjed Soleyman Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naft Gachsaran
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Naft Masjed Soleyman
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
The Meetings
28.11.2023 Naft Masjed Soleyman Naft Masjed Soleyman 3-1 HT 1-0 Naft Gachsaran IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Naft Gachsaran vs Naft Masjed Soleyman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft Gachsaran and Naft Masjed Soleyman couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Naft Gachsaran at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (66%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

What was the final score of Naft Gachsaran vs Naft Masjed Soleyman?

Naft Gachsaran 1-1 Naft Masjed Soleyman in the Iran - Azadegan League on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft Gachsaran vs Naft Masjed Soleyman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naft Gachsaran win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Naft Gachsaran 45%, draw 26%, Naft Masjed Soleyman 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Naft Gachsaran), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Naft Gachsaran) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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