SC Damash Gilanian 4-1 Mes Soongoun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 16 May 2024

📅16/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.92
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.48
Over 2.5
32%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
43%
2.17
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
11%
5.77
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.17 — our 43% vs market 39.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.0pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.5pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.5pp
68%
Under 2.5
64%
+4.1pp
32%
Over 2.5
36%
-4.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.4pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SC Damash Gilanian EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Mes Soongoun EU Bookmakers 28%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.54/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/0.98
+11% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SC Damash Gilanian
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Mes Soongoun
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
28.11.2023 Mes Soongoun Mes Soongoun 2-1 HT 0-1 SC Damash Gilanian SC Damash Gilanian IRANAZ
POST-MATCH SC Damash Gilanian vs Mes Soongoun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SC Damash Gilanian ran out comfortable winners over Mes Soongoun 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 28%) promised a tight game; SC Damash Gilanian found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of SC Damash Gilanian vs Mes Soongoun?

SC Damash Gilanian 4-1 Mes Soongoun in the Iran - Azadegan League on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SC Damash Gilanian vs Mes Soongoun?

Before kick-off our model rated a SC Damash Gilanian win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split SC Damash Gilanian 40%, draw 32%, Mes Soongoun 28%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SC Damash Gilanian) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SC Damash Gilanian) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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