Çorum FK 2-1 Kocaelispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 16 May 2024

Çorum FK
2-1 HT 1-0
Kocaelispor
📅16/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Çorum FK vs Kocaelispor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.82
2-3 Goals
38%
1.83
4-5 Goals
20%
3.21
6+ Goals
13%
11.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.82 — our 29% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.64
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
16%
4.62
X/2
10%
7.6
X/X
15%
4.93
2/1
6%
23.6
2/2
7%
5.33
2/X
8%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
47%
-2.0pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.1pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Çorum FK v Kocaelispor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çorum FK EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
2.09/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.49
+30% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
23.7 Crosses 17.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8

Çorum FK vs Kocaelispor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çorum FK
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Kocaelispor
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.60 xG 1.92
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
278 Passes 362
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.04.2024 Çorum FK Çorum FK 1-1 HT 1-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
12.11.2023 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 2-1 HT 0-0 Çorum FK Çorum FK T1L
07.02.2021 Çorum FK Çorum FK 0-1 HT 0-1 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor S2-B
04.10.2020 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 3-0 HT 0-0 Çorum FK Çorum FK S2-B
15.05.2019 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 0-3 HT 0-1 Çorum FK Çorum FK S3-3P
10.05.2019 Çorum FK Çorum FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor S3-3P

Çorum FK 2-1 Kocaelispor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çorum FK
2-1
AWAY Kocaelispor
0.66 xG 1.45
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
272 Passes 291
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Box Touches 12
10 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Çorum FK vs Kocaelispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çorum FK squeezed past Kocaelispor 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Çorum FK as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Çorum FK had 48% of the ball to Kocaelispor's 52%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.66 to 1.45 — on chances, Kocaelispor could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kocaelispor led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Çorum FK and 1.33 for Kocaelispor.

What was the final score of Çorum FK vs Kocaelispor?

Çorum FK 2-1 Kocaelispor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 16/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çorum FK vs Kocaelispor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Çorum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Çorum FK 45%, draw 30%, Kocaelispor 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Çorum FK), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Çorum FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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