Çorum FK 1-1 Kocaelispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.75
Over 2.5
48%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.98
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.93
6+ Goals
7%
17.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.06
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
15%
4.64
X/2
15%
6.41
X/X
9%
4.42
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
14%
4.81
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.7pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.7pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.5pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çorum FK EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 33%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
2.03/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.05
+55% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +32%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
23.2 Crosses 17.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çorum FK
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Kocaelispor
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.55 xG 1.95
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
255 Passes 357
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 3
12.11.2023 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 2-1 HT 0-0 Çorum FK Çorum FK T1L
07.02.2021 Çorum FK Çorum FK 0-1 HT 0-1 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor S2-B
04.10.2020 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 3-0 HT 0-0 Çorum FK Çorum FK S2-B
15.05.2019 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 0-3 HT 0-1 Çorum FK Çorum FK S3-3P
10.05.2019 Çorum FK Çorum FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor S3-3P
18.11.2018 Çorum FK Çorum FK 1-2 HT 1-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor S3-3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çorum FK
1-1
AWAY Kocaelispor
2.66 xG 1.89
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
301 Passes 366
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Çorum FK vs Kocaelispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çorum FK and Kocaelispor couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Çorum FK at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Çorum FK had 46% of the ball to Kocaelispor's 54%, shots finished 18-20, expected goals 2.66 to 1.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kocaelispor led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Çorum FK and 1.50 for Kocaelispor.

What was the final score of Çorum FK vs Kocaelispor?

Çorum FK 1-1 Kocaelispor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çorum FK vs Kocaelispor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Çorum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Çorum FK 44%, draw 23%, Kocaelispor 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Çorum FK), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Çorum FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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