Gençlerbirliği 1-1 Adanaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.83
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.13
6+ Goals
8%
19.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.83 — our 31% vs market 29.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.27
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.6
X/1
12%
3.8
X/2
10%
9.22
X/X
12%
4.59
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
12%
7.73
2/X
8%
16.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-9.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+7.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.7pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gençlerbirliği EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Adanaspor EU Bookmakers 23%
-13% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -14%
1.59/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.51
-51% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
361 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
24.8 Crosses 13.3
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gençlerbirliği
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Adanaspor
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.87 xG 1.31
49% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
327 Passes 410
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2023 Adanaspor Adanaspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
24.10.2022 Adanaspor Adanaspor 2-1 HT 1-1 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
17.01.2022 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 0-3 HT 0-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
21.08.2021 Adanaspor Adanaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
17.03.2019 Adanaspor Adanaspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
20.10.2018 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 0-0 HT 0-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gençlerbirliği
1-1
AWAY Adanaspor
1.10 xG 0.15
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
375 Passes 334
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 6
22 Crosses 13
POST-MATCH Gençlerbirliği vs Adanaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gençlerbirliği and Adanaspor shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Gençlerbirliği at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Gençlerbirliği had 53% of the ball to Adanaspor's 47%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 1.10 to 0.15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Gençlerbirliği and 0.83 for Adanaspor.

What was the final score of Gençlerbirliği vs Adanaspor?

Gençlerbirliği 1-1 Adanaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gençlerbirliği vs Adanaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gençlerbirliği win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gençlerbirliği 45%, draw 28%, Adanaspor 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Gençlerbirliği), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gençlerbirliği) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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