Bandırmaspor 1-1 Manisa FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.48
2-3 Goals
38%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.43
6+ Goals
10%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 28% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.19
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.15
X/1
19%
3.92
X/2
9%
9.35
X/X
9%
5.24
2/1
7%
23.15
2/2
10%
7.26
2/X
7%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-3.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bandırmaspor EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 24%
+5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -21%
1.52/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.52
+8% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -30%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
18.4 Crosses 16.4
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bandırmaspor
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Manisa FK
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.53 xG 0.81
36% Ball Possession 64%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
198 Passes 393
69% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 23
11 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
12.11.2023 Manisa FK Manisa FK 0-2 HT 0-1 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
12.04.2023 Manisa FK Manisa FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
13.11.2022 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 2-1 HT 1-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
17.02.2022 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
18.09.2021 Manisa FK Manisa FK 1-3 HT 0-2 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor T1L
13.10.2018 Bandırmaspor Bandırmaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bandırmaspor
1-1
AWAY Manisa FK
1.22 xG 1.69
38% Ball Possession 62%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 3
209 Passes 380
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
11 Box Touches 22
9 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bandırmaspor vs Manisa FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bandırmaspor and Manisa FK shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Bandırmaspor at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Bandırmaspor had 38% of the ball to Manisa FK's 62%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 1.22 to 1.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bandırmaspor had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bandırmaspor and 0.33 for Manisa FK.

What was the final score of Bandırmaspor vs Manisa FK?

Bandırmaspor 1-1 Manisa FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bandırmaspor vs Manisa FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bandırmaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Bandırmaspor 51%, draw 25%, Manisa FK 24%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bandırmaspor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
T1L More Turkey - 1st Division
7 Apr 2024
13:30 Çorum FK vs Kocaelispor Analysis →
16:00 Gençlerbirliği vs Adanaspor Analysis →
16:00 Eyüpspor vs Altay Analysis →