St. Pölten 3-1 Rapid Wien II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
29%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.68
Over 2.5
63%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.41
No
49%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
8.93
2-3 Goals
32%
2.45
4-5 Goals
33%
2.28
6+ Goals
14%
3.44
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
66%
-14.7pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.5pp
29%
Away Win
16%
+12.2pp
37%
Under 2.5
24%
+12.9pp
63%
Over 2.5
76%
-12.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
67%
-15.7pp
49%
BTTS No
33%
+15.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pölten EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Wien II EU Bookmakers 20%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.50/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.10/2.07
-4% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 73%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
26.0 Crosses 17.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pölten
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Rapid Wien II
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2024 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II 0-1 HT 0-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
04.06.2023 St. Pölten St. Pölten 1-0 HT 1-0 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II AU2
29.07.2022 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II 1-5 HT 0-2 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
27.11.2021 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II 0-1 HT 0-0 St. Pölten St. Pölten AU2
03.08.2021 St. Pölten St. Pölten 1-2 HT 1-0 Rapid Wien II Rapid Wien II AU2
POST-MATCH St. Pölten vs Rapid Wien II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pölten saw off Rapid Wien II 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had St. Pölten as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, St. Pölten had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for St. Pölten and 0.60 for Rapid Wien II.

What was the final score of St. Pölten vs Rapid Wien II?

St. Pölten 3-1 Rapid Wien II in the Austria - 1st Division on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pölten vs Rapid Wien II?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Pölten win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split St. Pölten 51%, draw 20%, Rapid Wien II 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Pölten), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Pölten) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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