Sturm Graz II 2-1 Lafnitz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.66
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
22%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
3.14
Over 2.5
60%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.39
No
41%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
56%
-0.1pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.0pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-0.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
28%
+11.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
72%
-11.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.8pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sturm Graz II EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Lafnitz EU Bookmakers 27%
-64% / -64% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -14%
0.00/4.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/2.37
-100% / -72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -33%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
331 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sturm Graz II
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Lafnitz
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.11.2024 Lafnitz Lafnitz 0-4 HT 0-2 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
12.05.2024 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 1-4 HT 1-3 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
27.10.2023 Lafnitz Lafnitz 5-2 HT 4-1 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
11.11.2022 Lafnitz Lafnitz 5-1 HT 2-0 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
31.07.2022 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 2-0 HT 2-0 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
07.02.2018 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 3-5 HT 0-3 Lafnitz Lafnitz HAZ
POST-MATCH Sturm Graz II vs Lafnitz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sturm Graz II edged past Lafnitz 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sturm Graz II as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lafnitz led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Sturm Graz II and 3.17 for Lafnitz.

What was the final score of Sturm Graz II vs Lafnitz?

Sturm Graz II 2-1 Lafnitz in the Austria - 1st Division on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sturm Graz II vs Lafnitz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sturm Graz II win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz II 56%, draw 22%, Lafnitz 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sturm Graz II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sturm Graz II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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