Lafnitz 0-4 Sturm Graz II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 22 Nov 2024

Lafnitz
0-4 HT 0-2
Sturm Graz II
📅22/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Lafnitz vs Sturm Graz II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.89
Over 2.5
61%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.38
No
39%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.6
2-3 Goals
46%
2.15
4-5 Goals
25%
2.53
6+ Goals
11%
5.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.23
1/2 EV+ ✗
5%
20.85
1/X
5%
12.9
X/1
12%
7.32
X/2
14%
5.29
X/X
9%
6.44
2/1
4%
27.5
2/2
28%
2.72
2/X
7%
12.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.85 — our 5% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.3pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.9pp
47%
Away Win
45%
+1.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
31%
+7.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
69%
-7.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.9pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lafnitz v Sturm Graz II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lafnitz EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Sturm Graz II EU Bookmakers 49%
-1% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.93/2.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.96
+31% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -52%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
249 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 73%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.0
22.0 Crosses 24.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 4.0

Lafnitz vs Sturm Graz II Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lafnitz
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Sturm Graz II
3.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.05.2024 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 1-4 HT 1-3 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
27.10.2023 Lafnitz Lafnitz 5-2 HT 4-1 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
11.11.2022 Lafnitz Lafnitz 5-1 HT 2-0 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
31.07.2022 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 2-0 HT 2-0 Lafnitz Lafnitz AU2
07.02.2018 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 3-5 HT 0-3 Lafnitz Lafnitz HAZ
POST-MATCH Lafnitz vs Sturm Graz II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sturm Graz II cruised past Lafnitz 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sturm Graz II as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lafnitz had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.80 goals for Lafnitz and 1.80 for Sturm Graz II.

What was the final score of Lafnitz vs Sturm Graz II?

Lafnitz 0-4 Sturm Graz II in the Austria - 1st Division on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lafnitz vs Sturm Graz II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sturm Graz II win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lafnitz 32%, draw 21%, Sturm Graz II 47%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sturm Graz II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sturm Graz II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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