Amstetten 1-3 First Vienna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 22 Nov 2024

Amstetten
1-3 HT 1-3
First Vienna
📅22/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Austria - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Amstetten vs First Vienna Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.55
No
38%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.34
2-3 Goals
38%
1.89
4-5 Goals
28%
3.02
6+ Goals
15%
9.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.34
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
27.5
1/X
5%
12.9
X/1
11%
5.5
X/2
15%
6.08
X/X
9%
5.33
2/1
5%
25.0
2/2
15%
3.83
2/X
9%
12.95
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.5 — our 8% vs market 1.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+3.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
-0.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
58%
+0.5pp
62%
BTTS Yes
60%
+1.1pp
38%
BTTS No
40%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Amstetten v First Vienna — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Amstetten EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY First Vienna EU Bookmakers 38%
-8% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
2.07/2.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.10
+5% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
305 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 80%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
18.0 Crosses 10.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4

Amstetten vs First Vienna Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Amstetten
0W-0D-3L
AWAY First Vienna
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.11.2023 Amstetten Amstetten 1-3 HT 0-1 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
05.05.2023 Amstetten Amstetten 0-4 HT 0-1 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
11.09.2022 First Vienna First Vienna 2-0 HT 1-0 Amstetten Amstetten AU2

Amstetten 1-3 First Vienna — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Amstetten
1-3
AWAY First Vienna
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Amstetten vs First Vienna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

First Vienna beat Amstetten 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; First Vienna found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Amstetten had 43% of the ball to First Vienna's 57%, shots finished 5-8.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, First Vienna led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Amstetten and 3.00 for First Vienna.

What was the final score of Amstetten vs First Vienna?

Amstetten 1-3 First Vienna in the Austria - 1st Division on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Amstetten vs First Vienna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Amstetten win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Amstetten 39%, draw 24%, First Vienna 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Amstetten) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Amstetten) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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