Hume City 0-1 Preston Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
26%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.53
No
50%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
42%
+8.5pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
26%
Away Win
34%
-8.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
61%
-10.9pp
50%
BTTS No
39%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hume City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Preston Lions EU Bookmakers 38%
+8% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.85/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.98
+9% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +66%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
290 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hume City
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Preston Lions
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
07.02.2025 Preston Lions Preston Lions 2-1 HT 0-0 Hume City Hume City AVNPL
POST-MATCH Hume City vs Preston Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Preston Lions squeezed past Hume City 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Hume City at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Hume City vs Preston Lions?

Hume City 0-1 Preston Lions in the Australia - National Premier League on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hume City vs Preston Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hume City win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Hume City 50%, draw 24%, Preston Lions 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hume City) ✗ Over 2.5
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