Palmeiras 2-0 Bolivar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
61%
1.27
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
20%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
2.51
Over
59%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.97
No
50%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
22%
5.12
2-3
39%
1.96
4-5
29%
2.6
6+
10%
6.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.41
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
23.75
X/1
24%
3.84
X/2
8%
23.3
X/X
7%
9.06
2/1
9%
22.45
2/2
6%
20.1
2/X
5%
28.0
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Palmeiras The Market 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Bolivar The Market 12%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Weak Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
2.26 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.75
0.65 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 2.10
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Strong
Strong Defensevs comparable teams Weak
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
23.0 Crosses 11.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palmeiras
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Bolivar
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
2.27 xG 1.21
44% Ball Possession 56%
17 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
318 Passes 381
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.04.2025 Bolivar Bolivar 2-3 HT 0-2 Palmeiras Palmeiras LKU
30.06.2023 Palmeiras Palmeiras 4-0 HT 2-0 Bolivar Bolivar LKU
06.04.2023 Bolivar Bolivar 3-1 HT 2-1 Palmeiras Palmeiras LKU
01.10.2020 Palmeiras Palmeiras 5-0 HT 1-0 Bolivar Bolivar LKU
17.09.2020 Bolivar Bolivar 1-2 HT 0-1 Palmeiras Palmeiras LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palmeiras
2-0
AWAY Bolivar
1.22 xG 0.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
19 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
355 Passes 329
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
28 Box Touches 9
17 Crosses 14
REVIEW Palmeiras vs Bolivar
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Palmeiras got the better of Bolivar 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Palmeiras as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (59%) never looked like landing.

Under the surface, Palmeiras had 51% of the ball to Bolivar's 49%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 1.22 to 0.17.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Palmeiras had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Palmeiras and 1.20 for Bolivar.

Palmeiras vs Bolivar Result & Final Score

Palmeiras 2-0 Bolivar in the Copa Libertadores on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Palmeiras vs Bolivar Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 61%, draw 19%, Bolivar 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palmeiras) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Palmeiras) ✗ Over 2.5
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