Ghazl El Mehalla 0-4 El Gounah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 16 May 2025

Ghazl El Mehalla
0-4 HT 0-2
El Gounah
📅16/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Egypt - Premier League – 2024/2025

Ghazl El Mehalla vs El Gounah Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
32%
2.7
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
Over 2.5
32%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.29
No
63%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.87
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
14%
6.66
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.4pp
32%
Draw
33%
-1.3pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.7pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.6pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ghazl El Mehalla v El Gounah — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY El Gounah EU Bookmakers 27%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +16%
0.90/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.36
-11% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
324 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 68%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
22.2 Crosses 14.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.4

Ghazl El Mehalla vs El Gounah Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla
2W-3D-0L
AWAY El Gounah
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.20
0.79 xG 0.63
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
154 Passes 315
59% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.11.2024 El Gounah El Gounah 0-1 HT 0-1 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
18.08.2022 El Gounah El Gounah 0-0 HT 0-0 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
15.04.2022 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 2-1 HT 0-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
20.05.2021 El Gounah El Gounah 0-0 HT 0-0 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
09.01.2021 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 0-0 HT 0-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR

Ghazl El Mehalla 0-4 El Gounah — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ghazl El Mehalla
0-4
AWAY El Gounah
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ghazl El Mehalla vs El Gounah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

El Gounah cruised past Ghazl El Mehalla 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (38% / 32% / 30%) promised a tight game; El Gounah found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (63%) landed while under 2.5 goals (68%) missed.

On the day, Ghazl El Mehalla had 48% of the ball to El Gounah's 52%, shots finished 19-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ghazl El Mehalla had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Ghazl El Mehalla and 0.20 for El Gounah.

What was the final score of Ghazl El Mehalla vs El Gounah?

Ghazl El Mehalla 0-4 El Gounah in the Egypt - Premier League on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ghazl El Mehalla vs El Gounah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ghazl El Mehalla win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ghazl El Mehalla 38%, draw 32%, El Gounah 30%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Ghazl El Mehalla), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ghazl El Mehalla) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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