El Gounah 0-1 Ghazl El Mehalla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
34%
2.83
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.38
Over 2.5
31%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.27
No
64%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-1.5pp
34%
Draw
32%
+1.7pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.1pp
69%
Under 2.5
69%
-0.1pp
31%
Over 2.5
31%
+0.1pp
36%
BTTS Yes
40%
-4.3pp
64%
BTTS No
60%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Gounah EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ghazl El Mehalla EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
0.97/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.06
-21% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +30%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
249 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 65%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
17.7 Crosses 15.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Gounah
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Ghazl El Mehalla
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.71 xG 0.89
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
308 Passes 141
75% Pass Accuracy 57%
16 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.08.2022 El Gounah El Gounah 0-0 HT 0-0 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
15.04.2022 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 2-1 HT 0-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
20.05.2021 El Gounah El Gounah 0-0 HT 0-0 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla MSR
09.01.2021 Ghazl El Mehalla Ghazl El Mehalla 0-0 HT 0-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME El Gounah
0-1
AWAY Ghazl El Mehalla
0.31 xG 0.38
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
340 Passes 208
76% Pass Accuracy 69%
15 Box Touches 11
27 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH El Gounah vs Ghazl El Mehalla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ghazl El Mehalla nicked a narrow win over El Gounah 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 34% / 31%) promised a tight game; Ghazl El Mehalla found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, El Gounah had 59% of the ball to Ghazl El Mehalla's 41%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 0.31 to 0.38.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ghazl El Mehalla led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for El Gounah and 0.50 for Ghazl El Mehalla.

What was the final score of El Gounah vs Ghazl El Mehalla?

El Gounah 0-1 Ghazl El Mehalla in the Egypt - Premier League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Gounah vs Ghazl El Mehalla?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Gounah win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split El Gounah 35%, draw 34%, Ghazl El Mehalla 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (El Gounah) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (El Gounah) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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