Zamalek 0-1 Al Masry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 23 Nov 2024

📅23/11/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.85
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
4.2
6+ Goals
8%
20.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 34% vs market 29.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
41%
-0.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.2pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.8pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamalek EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Masry EU Bookmakers 34%
+16% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
1.48/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/0.92
+85% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 75%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
16.1 Crosses 16.9
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zamalek
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Masry
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.75 xG 0.87
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
390 Passes 310
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.06.2024 Zamalek Zamalek 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
14.12.2023 Al Masry Al Masry 1-0 HT 1-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
04.04.2023 Al Masry Al Masry 3-2 HT 1-2 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
01.12.2022 Zamalek Zamalek 2-2 HT 1-1 Al Masry Al Masry MSR
26.11.2022 Zamalek Zamalek 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Masry Al Masry MSRK
26.08.2022 Al Masry Al Masry 0-0 HT 0-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zamalek
0-1
AWAY Al Masry
1.11 xG 0.81
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
486 Passes 222
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 10
20 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zamalek vs Al Masry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Masry squeezed past Zamalek 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Al Masry found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Zamalek had 65% of the ball to Al Masry's 35%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.11 to 0.81.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Masry led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zamalek and 1.33 for Al Masry.

What was the final score of Zamalek vs Al Masry?

Zamalek 0-1 Al Masry in the Egypt - Premier League on 23/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamalek vs Al Masry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zamalek win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Zamalek 40%, draw 26%, Al Masry 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Zamalek) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zamalek) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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