Olimpia Grudziadz 2-1 SKRA Czestochowa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒20:23 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
26%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.09
No
55%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.96
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.64
6+ Goals
9%
15.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.96 — our 31% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
63%
-13.3pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.5pp
27%
Away Win
15%
+11.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.7pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY SKRA Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 18%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -14%
1.74/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.63
-12% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz
1W-3D-2L
AWAY SKRA Czestochowa
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.10.2024 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 2-1 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL2
23.03.2024 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 1-1 HT 0-1 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
15.03.2024 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 0-0 HT 0-0 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL2
09.09.2023 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa 5-1 HT 2-1 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz POL2
02.09.2023 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 0-0 HT 0-0 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
15.05.2021 Olimpia Grudziadz Olimpia Grudziadz 2-0 HT 0-0 SKRA Czestochowa SKRA Czestochowa POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Olimpia Grudziadz
2-1
AWAY SKRA Czestochowa
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Olimpia Grudziadz vs SKRA Czestochowa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Olimpia Grudziadz edged past SKRA Czestochowa 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Olimpia Grudziadz as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Olimpia Grudziadz had 57% of the ball to SKRA Czestochowa's 43%, shots finished 14-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, SKRA Czestochowa led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Olimpia Grudziadz and 1.33 for SKRA Czestochowa.

What was the final score of Olimpia Grudziadz vs SKRA Czestochowa?

Olimpia Grudziadz 2-1 SKRA Czestochowa in the Poland - 2nd Division on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Olimpia Grudziadz vs SKRA Czestochowa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Olimpia Grudziadz win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Olimpia Grudziadz 50%, draw 24%, SKRA Czestochowa 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Olimpia Grudziadz) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Olimpia Grudziadz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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