Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1-4 Wisla Pulawy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.42
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
28%
2.77
6+ Goals
11%
7.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.5pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.8pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+6.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.5pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Wisla Pulawy EU Bookmakers 26%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +11%
1.87/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.66
+9% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
321 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Wisla Pulawy
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
20.10.2024 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy 1-0 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec POL2
25.07.2015 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy 2-2 HT 2-1 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec POLK
16.05.2015 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy 1-1 HT 0-1 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec POL2
17.10.2014 Zaglebie Sosnowiec Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1-1 HT 1-1 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1-4
AWAY Wisla Pulawy
64% Ball Possession 36%
18 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 7
12 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Wisla Pulawy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wisla Pulawy swept aside Zaglebie Sosnowiec 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Zaglebie Sosnowiec at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Zaglebie Sosnowiec had 64% of the ball to Wisla Pulawy's 36%, shots finished 18-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Wisla Pulawy led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zaglebie Sosnowiec and 1.25 for Wisla Pulawy.

What was the final score of Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Wisla Pulawy?

Zaglebie Sosnowiec 1-4 Wisla Pulawy in the Poland - 2nd Division on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaglebie Sosnowiec vs Wisla Pulawy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zaglebie Sosnowiec win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Zaglebie Sosnowiec 45%, draw 26%, Wisla Pulawy 30%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zaglebie Sosnowiec) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zaglebie Sosnowiec) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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