Sligo Rovers 1-4 Galway United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 16 May 2026

Sligo Rovers
1-4 HT 1-2
Galway United
📅16/05/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Ireland - Premier League – 2026

Sligo Rovers vs Galway United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.67
Over 2.5
50%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.85
No
45%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.57
2-3 Goals
44%
1.7
4-5 Goals
22%
4.04
6+ Goals
8%
19.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.98
1/2
7%
31.5
1/X
9%
13.1
X/1
10%
5.63
X/2
13%
5.51
X/X
12%
4.01
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
32.0
2/2
12%
3.86
2/X
7%
13.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 32.0 — our 9% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+4.2pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.3pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
50%
+5.2pp
45%
BTTS No
50%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sligo Rovers v Galway United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sligo Rovers EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Galway United EU Bookmakers 39%
-8% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -14%
1.23/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/0.97
-17% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
290 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 69%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
19.9 Crosses 27.6
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6

Sligo Rovers vs Galway United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sligo Rovers
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Galway United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.11 xG 1.86
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
295 Passes 197
72% Pass Accuracy 63%
17 Box Touches 35
15 Crosses 34
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.02.2026 Galway United Galway United 1-0 HT 1-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
22.09.2025 Galway United Galway United 0-1 HT 0-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
23.06.2025 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
16.05.2025 Galway United Galway United 0-1 HT 0-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
12.04.2025 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 1-2 HT 0-1 Galway United Galway United İRL
25.10.2024 Galway United Galway United 2-2 HT 0-1 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL

Sligo Rovers 1-4 Galway United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sligo Rovers
1-4
AWAY Galway United
2.06 xG 2.30
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 6
394 Passes 149
79% Pass Accuracy 62%
29 Box Touches 20
40 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sligo Rovers vs Galway United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galway United cruised past Sligo Rovers 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Galway United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sligo Rovers had 67% of the ball to Galway United's 33%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 2.06 to 2.30.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sligo Rovers had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Sligo Rovers and 1.00 for Galway United.

What was the final score of Sligo Rovers vs Galway United?

Sligo Rovers 1-4 Galway United in the Ireland - Premier League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sligo Rovers vs Galway United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sligo Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sligo Rovers 40%, draw 27%, Galway United 33%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sligo Rovers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sligo Rovers) ✓ BTTS Yes
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