Galway United 0-1 Sligo Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
32%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.96
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.64
6+ Goals
14%
15.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.15
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
5%
15.95
X/1
11%
4.0
X/2
12%
9.99
X/X
9%
5.16
2/1
11%
24.2
2/2
15%
8.48
2/X
10%
17.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
57%
-13.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
32%
Away Win
19%
+12.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.5pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galway United EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sligo Rovers EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.25/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.43
-19% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
286 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 68%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
26.8 Crosses 15.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galway United
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sligo Rovers
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.53 xG 1.14
42% Ball Possession 57%
18 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
178 Passes 284
59% Pass Accuracy 68%
30 Box Touches 15
30 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.04.2025 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 1-2 HT 0-1 Galway United Galway United İRL
25.10.2024 Galway United Galway United 2-2 HT 0-1 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
27.07.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
10.05.2024 Galway United Galway United 0-0 HT 0-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
22.04.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-0 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
26.01.2019 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 3-0 HT 2-0 Galway United Galway United HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galway United
0-1
AWAY Sligo Rovers
1.30 xG 0.46
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
173 Passes 222
63% Pass Accuracy 67%
26 Box Touches 19
36 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Galway United vs Sligo Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sligo Rovers edged past Galway United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Galway United at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Galway United had 47% of the ball to Sligo Rovers's 53%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.30 to 0.46 — the balance of chances actually favoured Galway United.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sligo Rovers led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Galway United and 1.33 for Sligo Rovers.

What was the final score of Galway United vs Sligo Rovers?

Galway United 0-1 Sligo Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galway United vs Sligo Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galway United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Galway United 44%, draw 24%, Sligo Rovers 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Galway United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Galway United) ✓ BTTS No
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