Bohemians 1-0 Shelbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.43
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.48
6+ Goals
8%
24.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.36
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.1
X/1
12%
4.89
X/2
11%
6.31
X/X
17%
4.04
2/1
11%
31.0
2/2
11%
4.96
2/X
7%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.5pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.0pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-1.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.6pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bohemians EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +17%
0.98/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/0.69
-6% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +52%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
285 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 70%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
24.9 Crosses 12.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bohemians
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Shelbourne
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.70 xG 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
334 Passes 296
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 4
11.04.2025 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-0 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
06.09.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 1-1 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
23.08.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-1 HT 1-1 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
12.04.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-2 HT 0-2 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
08.03.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 0-2 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
25.09.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 1-1 HT 0-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bohemians
1-0
AWAY Shelbourne
2.48 xG 0.60
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
409 Passes 243
78% Pass Accuracy 67%
23 Box Touches 19
8 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bohemians vs Shelbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bohemians squeezed past Shelbourne 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Bohemians as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Bohemians had 59% of the ball to Shelbourne's 41%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 2.48 to 0.60 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Bohemians's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shelbourne led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bohemians and 1.17 for Shelbourne.

What was the final score of Bohemians vs Shelbourne?

Bohemians 1-0 Shelbourne in the Ireland - Premier League on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bohemians vs Shelbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bohemians win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bohemians 42%, draw 30%, Shelbourne 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bohemians), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bohemians) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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