Shelbourne 1-0 Bohemians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
27%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.35
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
4.68
6+ Goals
7%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.43
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.2
X/1
14%
4.9
X/2
9%
6.23
X/X
16%
3.93
2/1
11%
31.5
2/2
12%
4.95
2/X
8%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.2pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.4pp
27%
Away Win
30%
-2.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.6pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.4pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Bohemians EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
0.93/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.00
-11% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +30%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
305 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 70%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
12.7 Crosses 20.1
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shelbourne
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Bohemians
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.86 xG 0.80
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
261 Passes 335
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 4
06.09.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 1-1 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
23.08.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-1 HT 1-1 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
12.04.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-2 HT 0-2 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
08.03.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 0-2 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
25.09.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 1-1 HT 0-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
21.07.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 1-0 HT 1-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shelbourne
1-0
AWAY Bohemians
0.66 xG 0.19
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 0
476 Passes 331
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Shelbourne vs Bohemians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shelbourne squeezed past Bohemians 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shelbourne as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Shelbourne had 57% of the ball to Bohemians's 43%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 0.66 to 0.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bohemians led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shelbourne and 1.00 for Bohemians.

What was the final score of Shelbourne vs Bohemians?

Shelbourne 1-0 Bohemians in the Ireland - Premier League on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shelbourne vs Bohemians?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shelbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Shelbourne 41%, draw 31%, Bohemians 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shelbourne), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shelbourne) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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