Shamrock Rovers 2-0 Waterford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.43
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.4
No
54%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.64
2-3 Goals
43%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.08
6+ Goals
8%
19.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.77
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
20.2
X/1
18%
3.61
X/2
6%
15.0
X/X
15%
5.19
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
10%
14.6
2/X
8%
23.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
66%
-15.0pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.6pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+8.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
38%
+8.4pp
54%
BTTS No
62%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -2%
1.41/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.70
-4% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
347 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 70%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
24.2 Crosses 13.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamrock Rovers
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Waterford FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.55 xG 0.58
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
333 Passes 226
76% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
02.08.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
06.05.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-3 HT 1-2 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
01.04.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
05.11.2021 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-3 HT 1-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
10.09.2021 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-0 HT 0-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shamrock Rovers
2-0
AWAY Waterford FC
1.80 xG 0.04
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
531 Passes 293
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 2
24 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamrock Rovers saw off Waterford FC 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shamrock Rovers as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Shamrock Rovers had 62% of the ball to Waterford FC's 38%, shots finished 21-3, expected goals 1.80 to 0.04.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Shamrock Rovers and 1.17 for Waterford FC.

What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford FC?

Shamrock Rovers 2-0 Waterford FC in the Ireland - Premier League on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Shamrock Rovers 51%, draw 29%, Waterford FC 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shamrock Rovers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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