Waterford FC 1-3 Shamrock Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.04
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
46%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.86
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.76
6+ Goals
9%
16.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 29% vs market 28.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.68
1/2
8%
25.0
1/X
6%
16.5
X/1
11%
9.15
X/2
18%
4.16
X/X
13%
4.8
2/1
6%
35.0
2/2
21%
2.31
2/X
7%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
22%
+5.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
46%
Away Win
54%
-7.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.4pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 57%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -20%
0.92/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.81
+2% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
179 · 62% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 76%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
16.6 Crosses 18.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waterford FC
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.47 xG 1.60
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
239 Passes 372
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.04.2025 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
01.11.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
02.08.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
06.05.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-3 HT 1-2 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
01.04.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
05.11.2021 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-3 HT 1-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waterford FC
1-3
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
0.50 xG 1.76
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
389 Passes 290
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Waterford FC vs Shamrock Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamrock Rovers saw off Waterford FC 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shamrock Rovers as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Waterford FC had 57% of the ball to Shamrock Rovers's 43%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.50 to 1.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Waterford FC and 2.00 for Shamrock Rovers.

What was the final score of Waterford FC vs Shamrock Rovers?

Waterford FC 1-3 Shamrock Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waterford FC vs Shamrock Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Waterford FC 27%, draw 26%, Shamrock Rovers 46%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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