St Patricks 3-2 Cork City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 16 May 2025

📅16/05/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.43
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.19
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.41
6+ Goals
9%
13.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.19 — our 27% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.76
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
6%
18.65
X/1
21%
3.76
X/2
5%
14.1
X/X
7%
5.9
2/1
8%
24.65
2/2
9%
12.7
2/X
9%
21.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
65%
-6.8pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.0pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+4.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.6pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St Patricks EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Cork City EU Bookmakers 17%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -24%
1.57/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.67
+15% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -32%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
318 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 67%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
24.3 Crosses 16.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St Patricks
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Cork City
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.05 xG 0.95
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
277 Passes 220
72% Pass Accuracy 65%
20 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.04.2025 Cork City Cork City 0-2 HT 0-2 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
08.10.2023 Cork City Cork City 0-2 HT 0-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRK
29.09.2023 Cork City Cork City 0-1 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
07.07.2023 St Patricks St Patricks 1-1 HT 1-0 Cork City Cork City İRL
05.05.2023 Cork City Cork City 2-3 HT 2-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
07.04.2023 St Patricks St Patricks 4-0 HT 1-0 Cork City Cork City İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St Patricks
3-2
AWAY Cork City
1.56 xG 1.15
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
314 Passes 298
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH St Patricks vs Cork City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St Patricks edged past Cork City 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had St Patricks as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, St Patricks had 52% of the ball to Cork City's 48%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.56 to 1.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St Patricks had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for St Patricks and 0.50 for Cork City.

What was the final score of St Patricks vs Cork City?

St Patricks 3-2 Cork City in the Ireland - Premier League on 16/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St Patricks vs Cork City?

Before kick-off our model rated a St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split St Patricks 59%, draw 22%, Cork City 19%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St Patricks) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St Patricks) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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