Velez Mostar 4-2 Rudar Prijedor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 16 May 2026

📅16/05/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
20%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.8
Over 2.5
40%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
56%
-2.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
20%
Away Win
18%
+2.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
52%
+8.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
48%
-8.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.2pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Velez Mostar EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Rudar Prijedor EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.49/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.02
-2% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +33%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
316 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 4.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Velez Mostar
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Rudar Prijedor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2026 Rudar Prijedor Rudar Prijedor 1-2 HT 0-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
29.11.2025 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 1-0 HT 0-0 Rudar Prijedor Rudar Prijedor BOSN
13.09.2025 Rudar Prijedor Rudar Prijedor 1-3 HT 1-2 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
06.05.2022 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 1-0 HT 0-0 Rudar Prijedor Rudar Prijedor BOSN
23.10.2021 Rudar Prijedor Rudar Prijedor 2-2 HT 1-1 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
02.08.2021 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 0-2 HT 0-2 Rudar Prijedor Rudar Prijedor BOSN
POST-MATCH Velez Mostar vs Rudar Prijedor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Velez Mostar got the better of Rudar Prijedor 4-2. Half-time: 3-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Velez Mostar as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Velez Mostar had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Velez Mostar and 1.00 for Rudar Prijedor.

What was the final score of Velez Mostar vs Rudar Prijedor?

Velez Mostar 4-2 Rudar Prijedor in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 16/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Velez Mostar vs Rudar Prijedor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Velez Mostar win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Velez Mostar 54%, draw 26%, Rudar Prijedor 20%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Velez Mostar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Velez Mostar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
16 May 2026
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